Weekly Forex Forecast (July 30 – August 3, 2018)

We see the market continuously rejecting this support level — when bullish rejection forms off this level again, where do you think the market is likely to go? So a long position is initiated at the high of this candle. Paul January 25, at 8: Derick March 30, at PERI January 27, at 4: My understanding is that bankers trade the 1 hour I'm learning a lot from your articles and trying to apply what I've learned from you.

Forex range trading with price action pdf 07 Nov In forex trading market, there are several tools and strategies available but out of all of them, price action forex trading is one of the most effective and useful strategies.

Price Action Explained for Beginners

A long-tailed pin bar is always something to keep an eye out for when analyzing the markets. A good filter to use for tempting looking breakout trades is to wait for the breakout and close above or below the level. This will help you avoid many false-breaks, especially in range-bound markets.

Be cautious trading pin bars or other signals that form in thick and choppy consolidation. This one is sort of the opposite of the confluence point. This filter is especially important to use on the 4 hour and 1 hour charts. Whilst having things like checklists and an overall trading plan are very important, they are only one part of finding the best trading signals.

The man or woman doing the analysis and pulling the trigger is JUST as important as the strategy or trading plan they are using. This helps us develop a good intuition and gut feel which go hand in hand with a good trading strategy. This is like a madman with a gun walking around shooting anything that moves. Trading and money is a weapon, and just like a gun, you do need to be careful with it. It is extremely rare to get such treasure trove of information for free in this present Capitalist society.

All i can say about Nial is that his contribution to our success in this business and humanity in general will forever be engraved in our consciousness. That currently is my problem, the need of trading all the time even its choppy and I always convince myself oh there u go its a signal and trade on the spot.

It costed me a lot of money. This article was awesome and a great organizational approach to filtering your trades. Thanks a lot for your hard work. Thank you once more! You are simply the best.

Everybody who come across and read this masterpiece article could be successful and rich in trading. Dear Nial Fuller, you are really awesome. With each of your article, I am a successful professional trader. Thank you very much. It helps me very much. Thank you so much for your mentoring.

You just addressed a sensitive spot ive been getting confused about recently. I cant wait to join. Catch you up soonest in your trading community. Good article, this remembers me a poker game. You do not play with every hand, same in forex- not trade every setup. Waiting and patience is probably the most important skills and you know to shoot when you so it even a kid can: Always great to be riminded of the fundamentals.

Excellent research work and very useful publication. Every trader reading this article should thank you. Very great article,I read your article so many times and every time I find something new … I like it … thanks allot sir. I have been reading all your articles on price action trading. The info you put out is very goodnnb. Hope to join your community soon. Thanks nial for being so selfless in giving out this wealth of info.. I read every article you make and i have the feeling of understanding the markets much more!

From the very beggining i read everithing and then practicing for a while, and i can tell that my demo account is not loosing anymore. Almost certainly the best article on the subject I have ever read , and I have read many. I am determined to reduce my trades as a result. Thanks Nial A very good lesson yet again….

Yet another great high quality lesson on Pin bars, I really find these articles invaluable. They are giving me real practical help in trading only the best signals. Thank you so much Nial. Now I have the answer already. At the end I have 50 dollars profit: My profit factor risk reward ratio is 1. What I was thinking for weeks now was that I need to stop myself from entering the market ten times a day and thus improving my profit.

What i take home from this is that,Creating a list of filters with examples is a powerful idea. It creates a visual image which,when looked at frequently works wonders on the subconscious mind. This combined with consistent application of price action strategies,overtime result in good trading habits.

Hence i will endeavour to make each trade count in exercising and sharpening my skills. You provide sobering realities of what the markets really are. Especially your emphasis on trading end of day. Do you also look at the shorter timeframes, especially th 60min, to see whether price bounced off and retested the key levelin confirmation of the false breakout. Same in the case of a breakout, do you check the 60 for a break and retest.

Whether the fiance is: Neil, I am sure you are very proud of your trading skills, but there is something you should be even more proud of and that is your mentoring skills. One of your best lessons I have read! Just what I needed to get me back on track. This and the last article are just priceless guidance as far as I can see.

That checklist is now the first thing I look at before I open any Trades. Never seen anything like this before thanks Nial for your effort. This is why I subscribed value for value. Excellent summary of overall chart analysis. Hi Nial, this is really a very nice information which provides us the knowledge to diffentiate the good, the better and the best trades.

Hi Niall, It is nice to have someone like you who can share your knowledge selflessly with us. Thanks for all the priceless information. It has definitely helped me with my trading. I am still a learner — on DEMO — at present! I am in the way of successful trader because of you. May God bless you and your family.

Thanks Nial… Great stuff, I learn so much from each and evry article that you publish, but this one is an eye opener. Thank you for taking your time out for us.. Thanks a million times Professor Nial! Your articles and course material are priceless and have completely changed, in a positive way, the way I used to trade. I am now a much better trader than I have ever been.

Once again I thank u very very much! Keep up the good work! With your years of trading and teaching has absolutely with my 3. This is great info as usual! If you do not belong to the course these are the meat and potatoes. But the appetizers and the desert are the finer details you will hone in on once you join. Excellent in-depth presentation of the pin-bar in different market conditions. Thank you for imparting your extensive knowledge and insights with regard to this particular form of price-action in the markets.

You have taken them to higher levels of meaning worthy of a whole course at Harvard. Wonderful article, difficult topic but you explained very well. Thanks for the contribution. Thanks Nial, you are really good figurate writer. It would be great to use next strong pin bar setup to walk up us thruogh trade example from start to the end.

Hi Nial, It is indeed very informative article. Thank you sending it. We dont see the how market and big guys drive the next candle be! How could make our perfect sense to put the trade? Some people might think this is silly topic im increasing here, but im confuse!

Please make it clear thanking you! I appreciate your honesty and abundance of knowledge on the way forex is traded.

Nial When I started using your price action signal my earnings increased to 40 percent.. Just want to thank you for the great lesson Your ace my friend, cant tell you how much I appreciate your input. To build further business relations: I wish you all the best. Hi Nial,this article is really a good way to plan trades.

The information resonates with me fully. Thanks for helping me become a better trader. Thank you for another concise and insightful article. You have completely changed the way I look at and trade the forex. I now have a high degree of success and trade with confidence. I want you to know that there are many of us out here that really appreciate your help and clarity.

This is indeed the University of FX Trading. Clear illustration, precise description and accurate presentation. No clustering the charts with this indicator or that indicator. The lesson is a great gem and archive. Thank you Dear Prof Nial for your excellent works every day and week. Fantastic lesson it comes at a time that is perfect for me.

The fog clears daily after reading your articles. Its great to have some food for thought at the end of the week — Friday night is my time to revise and learn, I look forward to these articles, thank you. Nial, I always treasure your emails and go through them time and again, I can not thank you enough.

You are indeed a blessing,am really learning a lot. Fantastic Nial,i was caught in the false breakout on gbpusd and reading your articles is refreshing and make me stop being so overconfident and careless after a few wins,thank you! It is an issue trying to find out if the PA is worth risking your money at but this will help me a lot.

For me, I thought that the Dollar was the strongest so I took a long in that pair. These points were very useful because they showed what the story is with ample diagrams- the latter are immensely helpful when they are taken from real time charts and the red ink gives a good idea- and less confusion with unknowns- such as point 6: The best piece of trading information that i have read is here Nial,its like you are talking to me alone when you write these articles…so real and points well driven home.

This lesson is a great treasure for any investor,analyst and trader trying to be a professional. Thanks Nial that would have to be one of the best lessons I have read in a while. Now things are a lot more clear to me now. Thanks once again Nial Regards Colin. Your email address will not be published. Any Advice or information on this website is General Advice Only - It does not take into account your personal circumstances, please do not trade or invest based solely on this information.

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Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed in any material on this website. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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Tips for filtering trade signals The following tips for filtering trades can be applied to any trade signal or entry trigger, but we are mainly using daily chart pin bar strategies in the examples below, as well as one 4 hour chart example. We can see an example of a pin bar signal that protruded through a key support in the NZDUSD, creating a false-break of that level: A long-tailed pin bar is a high-probability pin bar The tail on a pin bar is very important, it shows rejection of price.

Note also that in the GBPUSD example below, the long-tailed pin bars tail was clearly protruding and created a false-break of a key resistance, as we discussed in the previous tip: Inside bars cause a lot of false-break scenarios like these, especially when a market is range-bound and not trending or if the inside bar setup is implying a counter-trend breakout like we see below: Long-tailed pin bars work very good as reversals after a sustained move One aspect of long-tailed pin bars that can be used as a type of filter is that they tend to work very well after a sustained move in one direction; often marking important market turning points or even long-term trend changes.

For example, in the USDJPY chart below, we can see that a long-tailed bullish pin bar occurred after a sustained downtrend, then the pin kicked off a large move higher… 5. See the example below: Creating a filter checklist for you trades A good exercise for any trader is to create their own checklist of different filters that they use to scan the markets for potential signals. Checkout Nial's Professional Trading Course here.

This is superb Reply. Atul Kapatkar November 3, at 3: Nikola August 19, at 9: RareSpecie July 11, at 3: AH May 8, at 3: Thanks to the article writer! But this article helped me to manage myself. One of your best articles!

Vic May 28, at 2: An antidepressant article, thanks Nial Reply. Okoye Elizabeth April 19, at 1: Very rich and educating article Reply. Derick March 30, at Thank you Nial, Very clear and easy to understand. Sir Nial, You are simply the best. Mohammed Yashin June 4, at Alex April 14, at 2: Alex April 8, at Amos March 4, at 2: Once again, thanks for your selfless service to humanity.

So what is price action and why is this form of analysis always looked up to? Read this article further to understand what price action is and how you too can trade with price action.

Price action trading is a form of technical analysis devoid of any technical indicators. Price action analysis is built upon the tenet that price reflects everything and therefore price is considered to be the, and only indicator that traders need. It is a study of price in relation to the past price or price history. Therefore, price action is nothing but a study of how price changes. It is common knowledge that any technical indicator, be it moving averages, or oscillators such as Stochastics or RSI, all these indicators tend to use price as the base.

For example, a simple moving average is constructed as an average of price over a specified period of time. Therefore, proponents of price action believe that it is better to use price as an indicator itself and trading with price directly rather than having to use any indicators. The chart above is typically reflective of how price action traders trade. As you will notice, there are no indicators on the chart, but rather some trend lines , support and resistance and so on.

What are the basic building blocks of price action trading? Price action trading is built upon the analysis of the following: The candlestick approach of price action deals with a certain behavior of price depicted in the candlestick charts.

Of course, at times the OHLC bar chart is also used. Although both the bar chart and candlestick charts tend to reflect the same sentiment, candlesticks are used as they are easy to recognize.

There are many more candlestick patterns but the above are some of the important price action patterns that traders often look to and are also easy to identify with. Although the candlesticks come with different names, they basically reflect the market sentiment.

The example below shows a bearish engulfing candle. In other words, this two candle price action formation indicates that the sentiment in the market is bearish as price failed to make a higher close and the lower close was much lower than the previous open.

Trading can in fact be done by reading the price candles alone. The following example shows how a long position could be traded by simply looking at and understanding the price action that is unfolding. We first spot a very bullish candle, which clearly engulfs the previous candles bearish price action. So a long position is initiated at the high of this candle.

The next candle closes bullish but leaves a long upper wick, indicating some kind of rejection. The following two candles are lower, but the fact that they have long lower wicks is indicative that there are more buyers and then sellers.

So the long position is kept open.

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